This is a daily feature of this blog. For further detail, please see this post.
|State||RCP||Pollster||538||538 Win %|
The biggest movement today comes from Nevada, where three recent polls put Barack Obama at 50% with leads of 4%, 5% and 10%. But you should not be surprised when Obama leads in a Nevada poll. After all, excluding partisan polls and the Zogby Interactive polls, Obama hasn't trailed in any poll in the Silver State since September. Instead of considering Nevada a toss-up, you should be considering it a "Lean Obama" state now (as RCP, Pollster and 538 all do). The three states of the west (Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico) really do appear to be Obama's firewall.
Overall, Obama's numbers seem to keep improving at the state level, which is very impressive. But let me say that I mostly agree with the incisive polling analysis of Wyatt Cenac: