This is a daily feature of this blog. For further detail, please see this post.
| State | RCP | Pollster | 538 | 538 Win % |
| NV | +7.0 | +5.9 | +3.3 | 83% |
| CO | +6.5 | +7.1 | +5.5 | 93% |
| IN | -1.7 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 41% |
| MO | -0.4 | +1.9 | +0.2 | 54% |
| OH | +5.8 | +6.3 | +3.1 | 82% |
| VA | +6.5 | +7.2 | +5.9 | 95% |
| NC | +2.6 | +2.0 | +0.9 | 61% |
| FL | +3.5 | +2.6 | +1.8 | 71% |
No big movement in the race, which, with four days left to go, is good news for Barack Obama. RCP has now moved John McCain into a slight lead in Missouri, but it doesn't mean anything: that race is a pure toss-up at this point.
We might be starting to see the impact of the "infomercial" on the tracking polls, but with tracking polls, it might also just be noise. Gallup shows movement toward Obama of either +2 or +3 points, depending on which model you believe. Rasmussen, on the other hand, was stable.
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