This is a daily feature of this blog. For further detail, please see this post.
|State||RCP||Pollster||538||538 Win %|
Plenty of movement toward John McCain here as we finish up this last weekend before the election. Still, Barack Obama holds solid leads in Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, and Ohio. We'll see what happens for the other states.
Nate Silver reveals John McCain's most likely path to victory and it involves Obama winning only states either Gore or Kerry won. In other words, Obama would drop all the states I am tracking above. It's not a likely scenario -- Silver reports it only happens 169 times out of 10,000 -- but it's something to keep in mind. This is why I've been saying that Obama only needs one of the states we're tracking to win this election. It's much more likely that he'll win four or more than just one.