Results from CA-50 are in. I don't really know what to make of them. Non-republicans got about 47% of the vote, with Busby leading the pack at 44%. Is this a good sign for her? It seems that it can hardly be considered a good sign for her opponent, Brian Bilbray (who only mustered 15%).
Keep in mind that this is a heavily Republican district. Cunningham won re-election in 2004 by over 20 points. So it looks possible for Busby to win, but I certainly wouldn't bet on it.
Anyone else have thoughts?
Wednesday, April 12, 2006
CA-50 Primary Results
Posted by Roving Citizen at 11:27 AM
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5 comments:
I would want to know if any of the top Republican vote getters were more moderate than the ultimate Republican nominee. Were any of them pro-choice for example?
My thinking is that if there were a very moderate Republican candidate who came in with 10% of the vote or so, Busby could hope that a significant number of those Republican voters would either vote for her or stay home.
Any idea what these various Republicans think about things?
// posted by Raised By Republicans
It doesn't help Bilbray that 85% of the voters did not vote for him this time, and less than a third of Repubicans voted for him. Busby needs to find another 6% of the vote. Or people need to stay home. It's quite possible, with the tiny vote for Bilbray, that the voters for Roach and others might stay home in larger numbers.
// posted by LTG
Interestingly, Bilbray is pro-choice, but he does not mention that on his website. His opponents do. Also, he is a member of the Log Cabin Republican National Advisory Board. So, just as RBR suggests, there was a Republican split. The question is whether Bilbray will win as a centrist or lose, because conservatives (who refused to vote for him two days ago) continue to do so, and stay home.
// posted by LTG
Busby needs to say that there is no such thing as a "Log Cabin" Republican. There are "Bush Republicans" and reasonable people.
// posted by Raised By Republicans
The absentees and provisional votes are almost all counted. Busby v. Bilbray will be the matchup on June 6th.
// posted by LTG
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