Bell Curve The Law Talking Guy Raised by Republicans U.S. West
Well, he's kind of had it in for me ever since I accidentally ran over his dog. Actually, replace "accidentally" with "repeatedly," and replace "dog" with "son."

Wednesday, April 12, 2006

CA-50 Primary Results

Results from CA-50 are in. I don't really know what to make of them. Non-republicans got about 47% of the vote, with Busby leading the pack at 44%. Is this a good sign for her? It seems that it can hardly be considered a good sign for her opponent, Brian Bilbray (who only mustered 15%).

Keep in mind that this is a heavily Republican district. Cunningham won re-election in 2004 by over 20 points. So it looks possible for Busby to win, but I certainly wouldn't bet on it.

Anyone else have thoughts?

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

I would want to know if any of the top Republican vote getters were more moderate than the ultimate Republican nominee. Were any of them pro-choice for example?

My thinking is that if there were a very moderate Republican candidate who came in with 10% of the vote or so, Busby could hope that a significant number of those Republican voters would either vote for her or stay home.

Any idea what these various Republicans think about things? 

// posted by Raised By Republicans

Anonymous said...

It doesn't help Bilbray that 85% of the voters did not vote for him this time, and less than a third of Repubicans voted for him. Busby needs to find another 6% of the vote. Or people need to stay home. It's quite possible, with the tiny vote for Bilbray, that the voters for Roach and others might stay home in larger numbers.  

// posted by LTG

Anonymous said...

Interestingly, Bilbray is pro-choice, but he does not mention that on his website. His opponents do. Also, he is a member of the Log Cabin Republican National Advisory Board. So, just as RBR suggests, there was a Republican split. The question is whether Bilbray will win as a centrist or lose, because conservatives (who refused to vote for him two days ago) continue to do so, and stay home.  

// posted by LTG

Anonymous said...

Busby needs to say that there is no such thing as a "Log Cabin" Republican. There are "Bush Republicans" and reasonable people.  

// posted by Raised By Republicans

Anonymous said...

The absentees and provisional votes are almost all counted. Busby v. Bilbray will be the matchup on June 6th. 

// posted by LTG