Fred Thompson withdrew from the race for the Republican nomination today. Though he did not have all that much support, the race is very close so it may well matter where his supporters go. That leaves four major candidates: McCain, Romney, Huckabee, and Paul.
You may say, "Where's Giuliani?" And the answer is, "Nowheresville." His track record is a few sixth place finishes and a couple of fourth place finishes. He has polled no more than 9% anywhere. Ron Paul, on the other hand, won second place in Nevada and has outpolled Giuliani everywhere except New Hampshire, where Giuliani narrowly edged out Paul by 2000 votes. Yeah, Giuliani says he is banking on Florida, but frankly I think that is a face-saving measure because he knows his national campaign is toast.
It's still a toss-up between McCain and Romney, I think... but McCain has the momentum going into Florida.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
And Then There Were Four. (Or Five.)
Posted by Dr. Strangelove at 3:46 PM
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3 comments:
It will be interesting to see if Thompson's roughly 10% support goes to Huckabee. If so, that puts McCain on his heels.
I heard that Thompson was appealing to the same evangelicals that Huckabee was.
Giuliani made the incredibly stupid decision to abandon all states in favor of Florida, not realizing that not only do you need to keep your name in the headlines despite the probability of losing but you need to look like you give a damn about all Americans, not just the ones that will most likely help your bid. The idiot was the front runner and he threw it away. The only campaign more poorly run was Thompson, who slept through it all except when he woke up with Forest Gumpisms.
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