tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6762928.post3117774232002246540..comments2024-01-03T05:23:36.046-08:00Comments on The Citizens: What do Nomination Polls Tell Us?Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6762928.post-51607141570294263332007-09-23T16:28:00.000-07:002007-09-23T16:28:00.000-07:00Hey folks... I'm going to go out on a limb and cal...Hey folks... I'm going to go out on a limb and call the <B>general</B> election (11.04.08) 13 months early: HRC beats McCain 52% to 48%. And just to be silly, I'm calling the electoral vote at 290 to 248, with Ohio, Iowa, and Missouri going for the Dems.<BR/><BR/>Why?? I have no data and no methodology, just a hunch. But I figure there's no harm in throwing my prediction out there. Hey, if I'm right, I'm the new Zogby ;-)Dr. Strangelovehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14407042105777411150noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6762928.post-10222133838230493732007-09-23T16:04:00.000-07:002007-09-23T16:04:00.000-07:00About 60% of Dems polled do not list HRC as their ...About 60% of Dems polled do not list HRC as their preferred candidate, and her support is relatively soft among those who do. It's a very fluid situation. If either Obama or Edwards starts to look like a winner, they could run away with it. Particularly if either shows any "crossover appeal" which is the one thing we know HRC does NOT have.The Law Talking Guyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17886791396468512490noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6762928.post-39258291580291905642007-09-22T19:24:00.000-07:002007-09-22T19:24:00.000-07:00The activists in Iowa like Edwards A LOT more than...The activists in Iowa like Edwards A LOT more than the national media seems to think. <BR/><BR/>It wouldn't surprise me at all if when the smoke clears in Iowa, Edwards comes out on top and Clinton and Obama are fighting for second fidle. <BR/><BR/>Clinton and Obama are getting a ton of free press but Edwards has quietly built up a really good ground organizatoin state wide. In the Iowa Caucus a good local organization is can be worth the same as A LOT of TV time.Raised By Republicanshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03461006522141969925noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6762928.post-68508688812733217372007-09-21T23:27:00.000-07:002007-09-21T23:27:00.000-07:00I agree that it is too soon, and events in the wor...I agree that it is too soon, and events in the word my take a weird turn that will throw things off. So Hilary is right to keep plugging away.<BR/><BR/>Just an aside, I watched Clark on Jon Stewart and was underwhelmed. When asked about Iraq, he sustained a football metaphor for over 2 minute during his interview ( and it was getting pretty silly by the end), and I was thinking, "Geeze, for a general, he isn't coming off as very bright. Glad I didn't vote for him."Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6762928.post-69958123455603213062007-09-21T18:49:00.000-07:002007-09-21T18:49:00.000-07:00I don't think she buys it either... HRC continues ...I don't think she buys it either... HRC continues to campaign and raise funds at a near-record pace. However, as HRC consistently polls around 40%, and Obama, her nearest rival, is down more like at 25%, she would appear to have a stronger lead over her opponents now than Dean ever had over any of his.Dr. Strangelovehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14407042105777411150noreply@blogger.com